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Comparing the US-Chinese relationship to great-power rivalries all the way back to the Peloponnesian War of the fifth century BC, he concluded that the future risk of a conflagration was substantial. Like much current analysis of US-Chinese relations, however, he missed a crucial point: For all intents and purposes, the United States and China are already at w-a-r with each other. Even if their present slow-burn conflict may not produce the immediate devastation of a conventional hot w-a-r, its long-term consequences could prove no less dire.
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